Risk Assessment of Use of the Dnieper Cascade Hydropower Plants

In this article we wish to evaluate efficiency of use of Dnieper cascade hydropower plants on the basis of common approaches to environmental management. We evaluate the efficiency of use the flooded areas of the hydropower station in agriculture. Assessment of the man-made risks includes evaluation of static (regular maintenance of dams) and stochastic (probability of artificial tsunami) components. According to the world statistics of disasters caused by dam reservoirs, the probability of man-made tsunami is estimated around 0.01%. Using this rate of probability we can state that expected losses van be 5% of the confidence level. Dnieper reservoirs ranking on the degree of energy risk (the possibility of man-made tsunami generation) was made. Keyword. risk assessment, hydropower plan, electricity, agriculture, environmental management. Key Terms. MathematicalModel, Data, Environment, Infrastructure, Development.